ROST stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Key Takeaways

• ROST closed at $245.36 on August 14, 2026, up roughly 8.7% over the last 30 days and about 4.5% below its 52-week high of $257.00.
• The broader trend remains positive: shares gained about 16% over the trailing three months and more than 34% year to date.
• Fiscal first-quarter 2026 results beat expectations, with EPS of $2.02, revenue of $6.01 billion, and comparable-store sales up 17%.
• Management raised fiscal 2026 guidance to EPS of $7.50–$7.74 and same-store sales growth of 6%–7%.
• The next major catalyst is the fiscal second-quarter report on August 20, 2026, with consensus estimates near $1.92 in EPS and $6.1 billion in revenue.
• Value-driven demand, store expansion, tariff-related costs, and an elevated valuation are central to the investment debate.

Current Market Snapshot

Ross Stores shares ended the August 14, 2026 session at $245.36, up 0.16% on the day. The stock sits above its 50-day simple moving average near $233.68 and its 200-day moving average near $220.42, reflecting a sustained uptrend. Over the last 30 days, ROST advanced roughly 8.7%, building on a trailing three-month gain of about 16.2% and a year-to-date rise of more than 34%. The stock trades approximately 4.5% below its 52-week high of $257.00 and well above its 52-week low of $143.39. Valuation has expanded with the rally: ROST carries a price-to-earnings ratio around 34, above broader specialty-retail levels, while a beta near 0.86 points to below-market volatility. Institutional ownership stands near 87%.

Ross Stores (ROST) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Ross Stores, Inc., headquartered in Dublin, California, is an S&P 500, Fortune 500, and Nasdaq 100 company with fiscal 2025 revenue of approximately $22.8 billion. The company operates Ross Dress for Less, the largest off-price apparel and home fashion chain in the United States, alongside dd's DISCOUNTS. At the end of the fiscal first quarter ended May 2, 2026, the company operated 2,282 locations across 44 states, the District of Columbia, Guam, and Puerto Rico.

The off-price model buys excess and closeout inventory from manufacturers and other retailers at discounts, then passes savings to shoppers while maintaining tight inventory controls and a low-cost operating structure. This model supports strong profitability, with return on equity near 38% in the latest quarter, and keeps the brand relevant as consumers emphasize value. Its closest large off-price rival is TJX Companies. Investors follow ROST for traffic growth, comparable-sales momentum, new-store economics, and margin execution.

Recent Developments Driving ROST

Between mid-July and mid-August 2026, ROST climbed from $225.81 on July 15 to $245.36 on August 14, a gain of about 8.7%. The advance reflected continued confidence in off-price value demand and positioning ahead of the company's fiscal second-quarter earnings report. On August 14, Telsey Advisory raised its price target to $280 from $265 and maintained an Outperform rating; Morgan Stanley set a $231 target in early August; and earlier post-earnings revisions included a Barclays increase to $260. The consensus analyst view remains a Moderate Buy, with recent targets ranging from roughly $230 to $280.

Institutional activity added support. Second-quarter 13F filings showed new positions from firms including Simplicity Wealth, Crown Advisors, and GSA Capital, while Bank of America and Viking Global increased existing stakes. At the same time, management continues to flag tariff-related ticketing and import costs as a source of cost-of-goods volatility, even as value-conscious consumer demand supports traffic. The quarterly dividend of $0.445 per share, paid on June 30, 2026, represents a yield near 0.7%.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

The next major catalyst is Ross Stores' fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report on August 20, 2026, after the market close. Management has guided second-quarter EPS to $1.85–$1.93, comparable-store sales growth of 6%–7%, and operating margin of 12.8%–13.0%. Consensus estimates stand near $1.92 in EPS and $6.1 billion in revenue. For the full fiscal year, the company expects EPS of $7.50–$7.74, implying 13%–17% growth, and same-store sales growth of 6%–7%.

Key watch points include traffic and comparable-sales trends, merchandise margin performance, and distribution-cost leverage as the newer Arizona facility is annualized. Tariff policy, ticketing and import costs, consumer discretionary spending, and closeout inventory availability remain important macro variables. Competitive positioning against TJX Companies and other off-price retailers, the pace of new-store openings, and the sustainability of a valuation near 34 times earnings will also shape the stock's next phase.

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